Bear Creek Ledger

Prediction: Military Coup in Pakistan around March 16th

As if there isn’t enough bad news happening around the world, it looks like things are going to get even more complicated. Imagine Islamic radicals with the Nuke!

From Dr. Richard Benkin (who is in India at this time):

The military has given the government the sort of ultimatum that says it’s time to start clearing out its desk and looking for asylum in one of those havens for deposed and corrupt rulers. And in fact, it is clear that only a military takeover will prevent an Al Qaeda takeover of nuclear Pakistan. Meanwhile, politicians are squabbling, calling each other traitors, and threatening to action against one another instead of acting against their common enemy.

People expect the military to take power in Pakistan around March 16. Unfortunately, that will only delay the Islamist victory there, especially with senior elements in the military and in Pakistani intelligence already sympathetic to that end. This could pose a serious if not grave threat to the United States and our allies. But do we have any indication that our government is acting; or even has a plan?

Is anybody in the Obama White House paying attention? What kind of additional danger does this place US and Coalition troops in Afghanistan?

Update March 16th – looks like the Obami White House is finally talking about this extreme situation:
From Flopping Aces“What we’ve been seeing in recent weeks is truly apocalyptic warnings from the analysts, which suggest that that is now a live possibility. The Pakistani government seems unable to control its own military or intelligence people. The tribal areas are already a failed state and a safe haven for terrorists.

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